Beginning in March, as the pandemic denialism movement started gaining steam, the naysayers started arguing that all the “covid-19 deaths” were actually just people who would have died anyway. All the death certificates were being switched to coronavirus, they said, to fake the coronavirus deaths.
This argument continues to this day. In effect, most of the independent media is now claiming that there is no net increase in global mortality whatsoever, and that all the people who are said to have died from covid-19 actually died from other causes. The coronavirus “hysteria,” they say, is a global false flag event that’s being staged by 100+ nations and hundreds of thousands of complicit doctors and nurses in order to enslave the human race under medical tyranny.
The Financial Times just released a detailed, bombshell analysis of global mortality that obliterates that denialist argument. By studying detailed mortality statistics across over a dozen countries and prominent cities (such as NYC), the Financial Times was able to document a global pattern of 50 percent excess mortality from any cause, showing that something is suddenly killing hundreds of thousands of people worldwide, regardless of what’s on death certificates.
The Financial Times even concluded that the global death toll from covid-19 should actually be over 300,000 deaths, not the roughly 200,000 that are currently claimed as “official” deaths. In other words, as you’ll see from the charts below, it’s almost certain that official death counts are underestimating the real coronavirus deaths by at least a third.
From the FT:
To calculate excess deaths, the FT has compared deaths from all causes in the weeks of a location’s outbreak in March and April 2020 to the average for the same period between 2015 and 2019. The total of 122,000 amounts to a 50 per cent rise in overall mortality relative to the historical average for the locations studied.
In other words, the FT looks at total deaths from any cause and found sudden surges in deaths that obviously coincide with the coronavirus pandemic.
Here are just a few of the charts from the FT analysis. You can see all of them at the FT website.
First, New York City shows a +299% overall mortality compared to all causes of death from the previous year:
What this tells us is that something caused a huge, sudden spike in deaths in New York City. We wonder, what could it be?
These data are further supported by a statistics website known as Indexmundi.com, which tracks the average, normal death rates on a state-by-state basis throughout the USA. According to Indexmundi.com, New York State normally sees 441 deaths per day, without any pandemic.
But during the coronavirus surge, New York State saw a 299% increase in total deaths from any cause, as shown by the FT chart above.
If we search the globe for what might be killing New Yorkers in such huge numbers, all clustered in about a 30-day period, the answer should be obvious. It’s not a hurricane. Not a tornado. Not an earthquake. Not a nuclear bomb. Not mass food poisoning, etc. There’s only one thing that is simultaneously surging around the world, causing huge spikes in total deaths, regardless of what’s on birth certificates: Covid-19.
Here’s the same look at a similar surge in Guayas province, Ecuador, where Guayaquil is located. There, a +347% surge in deaths was documented by studying cemetery records:
Northern Italy experience a very similar surge in total mortality during a slightly earlier time period, tracking a +463% in total deaths. As the Financial Times writes:
In the northern Italian region of Lombardy, the heart of Europe’s worst outbreak, there are more than 13,000 excess deaths in the official statistics for the nearly 1,700 municipalities for which data is available. This is an uptick of 155 per cent on the historical average and far higher than the 4,348 reported Covid deaths in the region.
For the Bergamo province, the increase was +463%.
What could it be?
What common event could be causing a surge of deaths in New York City, Northern Italy, Guayaquil and even Madrid, Spain?
The answer is obvious, of course: It’s the coronavirus pandemic.
Here’s a zoomed-out snapshot of about a dozen other nations showing a similar pattern. For the higher-res graphics, visit the FT article link, above:
What’s even more astonishing is that the lockdowns that have been put in place to try to stem the tide of the pandemic have lowered deaths from other causes such as car accidents and workplace injuries. As a result, the mortality surges shown in these charts don’t fully capture the number of deaths attributable to coronavirus, since some of the overall mortality has been suppressed by lockdown activity.
That means the global deaths stemming from covid-19 are higher than 300,000. As FT explains it:
Even the much higher numbers of deaths in the pandemic suggested by excess mortality statistics are likely to be conservative, as lockdowns mean that “mortality from numerous conditions such as traffic accidents and occupational injuries possibly went down,” said Markéta Pechholdová, assistant professor of demography at the University of Economics, Prague.
This means the global case fatality rate for the coronavirus is likely above 10%
The upshot of all this is that, once again, we have solid scientific evidence — mortality records and mortuary records — showing that the Case Fatality Rate (CFR) for the coronavirus is likely above 10%. The only way that’s not true is if you can come up with an alternate explanation of what could possibly be killing so many people, nearly all at the same time, following exponential math, in multiple nations all across the world, sharing virtually identical symptoms that correspond to covid-19.
Right now, there are just under 3 million people who have been confirmed infected with the coronavirus. Even if we generously assume every one of those people is symptomatic, qualifying them as a “case,” the 300,000 worldwide deaths now carefully calculated by the Financial Times put the global Case Fatality Rate at slightly over 10%.
This is, in fact, strikingly similar to the 5.6 – 10% Case Fatality Rate we calculated from other available numbers, without even having the benefit of the Financial Times mortality investigations.
For the record, the “Case Fatality Rate” means the percentage of people who die after becoming symptomatic and diagnosed with the infection. See a full explanation of the difference between the CFR and the IFR at this link on Science.news.
Pandemic denialists routinely obfuscate the difference between CFR and IFR, falsely comparing the IFR of the coronavirus with the CFR of the seasonal flu to try to claim the coronavirus is “no more dangerous than the flu.” The comparison is intellectually dishonest and smacks of scientific illiteracy, which seems common among the pandemic denialists.
I’ve offered a detailed explanation of CFR vs. IFR in this new podcast that’s worth a listen:
What all this means is that the coronavirus is likely 100 times more deadly than the flu. While the regular flu kills less than 0.1% of those who are symptomatic (i.e. “cases”), the coronavirus is currently killing at least 10% of those who are confirmed as infected, even when those infection numbers are surely too high because they include non-symptomatic people who shouldn’t even be considered in this equation.
The upshot is that the coronavirus Case Fatality Rate is likely above 10%, not below it.
In other words, at least 1 out of every 10 people who become symptomatic with a coronavirus infection end up dying from it. Anyone claiming the coronavirus is “no more dangerous than the flu” isn’t taking an honest look at the mortality numbers.
Concluded coronavirus cases currently show a global Case Fatality Rate of 19%
Right now, Worldometers.info data show that out of all the closed cases — which currently stands at about 1.1 million — a whopping 19% of those resulted in death. The other 81% resulted in patients being discharged or recorded as recovered.
While we expect that 19% number to settle somewhat as more patients who are currently hospitalized find their way to recovery, based on the global mortality figured now uncovered by the Financial Times, it’s becoming abundantly clear that the coronavirus is at least 100 times more deadly than the regular flu. It kills at least 1 out of 10 who are symptomatic, while the regular flu kills not even 1 in 1,000. (The actual Case Fatality Rate for the regular flu, based on publicly available CDC data, is 34,157 / 35,520,883. And that comes to less than 1 in 1,000, or 0.096%.)
This means that ending lockdowns prematurely or without adequate precautions will lead to catastrophe
The upshot of all this is that most people continue to vastly underestimate the danger of the coronavirus. As they are demanding an end to the lockdowns, they are looking at the wrong numbers (the IFR instead of the CFR), and they aren’t yet aware of the sudden 50% surge in global mortality that has no other explanation besides covid-19.
As I wrote on Natural News yesterday, this means lockdowns will likely be ended without adequate precautions, and this will lead to a catastrophic second wave of new infections approximately 6 – 8 weeks after the lockdowns end.
By early July, in other words, US states that ended the lockdowns on May 1st without calling for mandatory mask policies will be seeing a second wave of new infections, hospitalizations and deaths.
Thus, the deniers and naysayers are delivering the nation right back into the hands of the vaccine pushers and the lockdown authoritarians. By failing to take the virus seriously, they push complacency and denialism that can only lead to more lockdowns and economic decimation.
As I wrote in that article:
The determined effort of media pundits and publishers to try to downplay the severity of the coronavirus pandemic will go down in history as one of the most bizarre and inexplicable chapters in the history of journalism.
But research, mathematics and real science don’t matter to the deniers. They aren’t processing anything with logic and reason. They are expressing an emotional response to the lockdowns, completely absent any defensible logic or reason.
Thus, we can all expect to be forced to endure a second wave of infections, deaths, lockdowns and economic destruction a few months down the road since almost no one took the virus seriously when they didn’t “feel like it.”
The outcome that’s being set up by all the complacency is, of course, a devastating stock market crash in the August – October time frame, followed by Trump losing the November election, followed by uprisings and protests that may lead us directly into civil war or social chaos, just in time for a Democrat to be sworn in next January, immediately followed by full-blown socialism, skyrocketing taxes and a vindictive crackdown on free speech, the Second Amendment and health freedom.
When it all comes down, just remember: Those who didn’t take this seriously set these events into motion. They begged to “reopen the economy” at all costs. They should be careful what they ask for, because they won’t like the price they will ultimately have to pay for their shortsightedness.
I tried to stop all this from happening, but the lunatic mob of denialists doesn’t want to listen to reason.
Read Pandemic.news for more intelligent, accurate analysis and projections of where we’re all headed.